{"id":49079,"date":"2026-04-20T19:19:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T16:19:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mk.gen.tr\/kbw-window-for-fannie-freddie-privatization-is-narrowing\/"},"modified":"2026-04-20T19:19:52","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T16:19:52","slug":"kbw-window-for-fannie-freddie-privatization-is-narrowing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mk.gen.tr\/tr\/kbw-window-for-fannie-freddie-privatization-is-narrowing\/","title":{"rendered":"KBW: Window for Fannie, Freddie privatization is narrowing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The window for <strong>Fannie Mae<\/strong> and <strong>Freddie Mac<\/strong> to be returned to the private sector \u201cappears to be narrowing,\u201d with a low probability of it happening before the midterms election in November, according to analysts at <strong>Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods<\/strong> (KBW).<\/p>\n<p>With the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/articles\/updated-list-of-all-trumps-actions-that-impact-housing\/\">Trump administration<\/a>\u2019s focus having shifted to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/podcast\/what-will-housing-data-look-like-when-the-iran-conflict-is-over\/\">Middle East conflict<\/a> and housing affordability, the topic has become quieter in Washington, D.C., and across the mortgage market in 2026, following early signals of a potential <a href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/articles\/trump-ipo-fannie-mae-freddie-mac-conservatorship-fhfa\/\">stock offering<\/a> for the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) last year.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhile there have been multiple posts on <strong>X<\/strong> about GSE privatization, we think in order for privatization to succeed, the administration needs to take action to address key issues, such as capital levels, the treatment of the government\u2019s senior preferred (stock), and the nature of the implicit guaranty,\u201d the analysts wrote in a report released Monday.<\/p>\n<p>But resolving these issues while maintaining a stable <a href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/articles\/gse-mbs-purchases-fannie-freddie\/\">secondary market<\/a> for mortgage assets will take time. And \u201cif much of the work isn\u2019t done in 2027, it will probably be challenging in 2028 as the administration\u2019s focus shifts to the 2028 presidential election,\u201d the analysts said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGiven that, we think the window for GSE privatization appears to be narrowing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The comments come as the GSEs prepare to release first-quarter 2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/articles\/q4-2025-earnings-mortgage-real-estate-homebuilding\/\">earnings<\/a>. KBW said net interest income for Fannie and Freddie is projected to rise amid an expected <a href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/articles\/trump-gse-mbs-purchase\/\">$200 billion increase<\/a> in their retained portfolios, as announced by Trump in January.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe GSEs, unlike the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/tag\/federal-reserve\/\">Federal Reserve<\/a><\/strong> when it was buying agency MBS while conducting quantitative easing, are behaving like other private market participants and buying agency MBS where they see value,\u201d the analysts said.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, KBW lowered its price target from $10 to $8.50 per share for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/articles\/fannie-mae-earnings-2025\/\">Fannie Mae<\/a>, and from $9 to $8.50 for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/articles\/freddie-mac-2025-earnings\/\">Freddie Mac<\/a>, reflecting a reduced likelihood of privatization.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The window for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to be returned to the private sector \u201cappears to be narrowing,\u201d with a low probability of it happening before the midterms election in November, according to analysts at Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods (KBW). With the Trump administration\u2019s focus having shifted to the Middle East conflict and housing&#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mk.gen.tr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49079"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mk.gen.tr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mk.gen.tr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mk.gen.tr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49079"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mk.gen.tr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49079\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mk.gen.tr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49079"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mk.gen.tr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49079"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mk.gen.tr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49079"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}